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Alberta’s Political Landscape – Is “Fortress Edmonton” Crumbling on the NDP?

ThinkHQ/Metro News Poll

For many political observers, the fact that the provincial NDP are now trailing province-wide in voter intentions may not come as a surprise – the economy remains stubbornly sluggish and the UCP has coalesced right-of-centre voters under one party banner. However, our November ThinkHQ/Metro Provincial Politics survey reveals deeper problems for the governing party.

 

  • If an election were held tomorrow, the NDP would garner 30% of the vote across the province, well back of the UCP at 54% and well behind their returns in the last provincial election (41%)

 

  • Meanwhile the Alberta Party stands at 9% of the decided vote province-wide today, followed by the Liberals at only 5%

 

  • Fully 18% of Alberta voters are undecided about who they will support in the next election

 

Most interesting in this new wave of political tracking is voter intentions in the Capital Region – “Fortress Edmonton” may be crumbling on the NDP

 

  • For the first time since they were elected in 2015, the NDP DO NOT have a lead among voters in the Edmonton-region. They are currently tied with UCP at 42% of the decided vote, followed by the Alberta Party (9%) and the Liberals (6%)

 

  • The NDP continue to hold a substantial edge (13 percentage points) within Edmonton city limits, however this suggests that in surrounding communities such as St. Albert, Leduc and Sherwood Park, they are actually trailing the UCP

 

 

Click the link to view detailed findings and methodology: Metro ThinkHQ Poll – Provincial Political Landscape November 2017

 

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